| Abstract | As the China government already putting forward the strategic objectives to peak carbon dioxide emissions before 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality before 2060, social consensus of green low carbon has promoted the development of integrated energy services. As an emerging format, integrated energy services break the trade and technical barriers between different varieties of energy. As a carrier of integrated energy services, integrated energy service companies still have many problems in their own optimized operation. This paper studies the risk mechanism of energy chain considering the risk preference of energy service companies, and analyses the correlation between the risk preference of energy service companies and the risk of energy chain. Based on set pair theory and interval number, the paper establishes an energy chain risk assessment model to overcome the shortcomings of traditional evaluation methods, which is able to characterize risk appetite and uncertainties. Finally, the results of simulation and tests verify the effectiveness of the proposed method of the novel. |
RESEARCH ON RISK MANAGEMENT OF ENERGY CHAIN BASED ON INTERVAL SET PAIR THEORY