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2023-01-13
Yang, Jun-Zheng, Liu, Feng, Zhao, Yuan-Jie, Liang, Lu-Lu, Qi, Jia-Yin.  2022.  NiNSRAPM: An Ensemble Learning Based Non-intrusive Network Security Risk Assessment Prediction Model. 2022 7th IEEE International Conference on Data Science in Cyberspace (DSC). :17–23.
Cybersecurity insurance is one of the important means of cybersecurity risk management and the development of cyber insurance is inseparable from the support of cyber risk assessment technology. Cyber risk assessment can not only help governments and organizations to better protect themselves from related risks, but also serve as a basis for cybersecurity insurance underwriting, pricing, and formulating policy content. Aiming at the problem that cybersecurity insurance companies cannot conduct cybersecurity risk assessments on policyholders before the policy is signed without the authorization of the policyholder or in legal, combining with the need that cybersecurity insurance companies want to obtain network security vulnerability risk profiles of policyholders conveniently, quickly and at low cost before the policy signing, this study proposed a non-intrusive network security vulnerability risk assessment method based on ensemble machine learning. Our model uses only open source intelligence and publicly available network information data to rate cyber vulnerability risk of an organization, achieving an accuracy of 70.6% compared to a rating based on comprehensive information by cybersecurity experts.
2020-11-23
Mohammadian, M..  2018.  Network Security Risk Assessment Using Intelligent Agents. 2018 International Symposium on Agent, Multi-Agent Systems and Robotics (ISAMSR). :1–6.
Network security is an important issue in today's world with existence of network systems that communicate data and information about all aspects of our life, work and business. Network security is an important issue with connected networks and data communication between organisations of that specialized in different areas. Network security engineers spend a considerable amount of time to investigate network for security breaches and to enhance the security of their networks and data communications on their networks. They use Attack Graphs (AGs) which are graphical representation of networks to assist them in analysing large networks. With increase size of networks and their complexity, the use of attack graphs alone does not provide the necessary risk analysis and assessment facilities. There is a need for automated intelligent systems such as multiagent systems to assist in analysing, assessing and testing networks. Network systems changes with the increase in the size of organisation and connectivity of network of organisations based on the business needs or organisational or governmental rules and regulations. In this paper a multi-agent system is developed assist in analysing interconnected network to identify security risks. The multi-agent system is capable of security network analysis to identify paths using an attack graph of the network under consideration to protect network systems, as the networks grow and change, against possible attacks. The multiagent system uses a model developed by Mohammadian [3] for converting AGs to Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs) to identify attack paths from attack graphs and perform security risk analysis. In this paper a novel decision-making approach using FCMs is employed.
2020-02-17
Yin, Mingyong, Wang, Qixu, Cao, Mingsheng.  2019.  An Attack Vector Evaluation Method for Smart City Security Protection. 2019 International Conference on Wireless and Mobile Computing, Networking and Communications (WiMob). :1–7.

In the network security risk assessment on critical information infrastructure of smart city, to describe attack vectors for predicting possible initial access is a challenging task. In this paper, an attack vector evaluation model based on weakness, path and action is proposed, and the formal representation and quantitative evaluation method are given. This method can support the assessment of attack vectors based on known and unknown weakness through combination of depend conditions. In addition, defense factors are also introduced, an attack vector evaluation model of integrated defense is proposed, and an application example of the model is given. The research work in this paper can provide a reference for the vulnerability assessment of attack vector.