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2012 Cyber Physical Systems PI Meeting
CPS in Design & Manufacturing
Bruce M. Kramer, Senior Advisor
October 4, 2012 Gaylord National Hotel
A
Short
‘History’
of
Manufacturing
• Materials- and Process-Driven Manufacturing - New materials demand process innovations - Stone-chipping to semiconductor fabrication • Metrology-Driven Manufacturing - Precision of parts made > that of machine parts - A cycle of ever-increasing precision - Interchangeable parts to LIGO • Logistics-Driven Manufacturing - Electric motors provided distributed power - Layout for material flow, not power access • Computer-Driven Manufacturing - NC Machining (1952), CAD/CAM - Modeling and Simulation, MRP, Synthetic Biology
2
Current
Role
of
the
Internet
in
Manufacturing
• The CAD terminal is pervasive - Modern gateway to manufacturing - 100,000 CAD/CAM seats in US High Schools • Manufacturing enterprises use internet communications - data transmission, collaborative design, ordering • Improved web services promise reduced wait time - Estimated > 95% of part time in organizational handoffs • Some manufacturing services available, within process - Rapid prototyping, NC machining, VLSI, PCBs… • No analog to explosive expansion of web commerce • Retailing, music, publishing have been transformed - Widely accessed by a creative public
3
The
Manufacturing
Mindset
• Highly skilled and experienced specialists • Product must be 100% reliable, on-time and in-spec - A deciding factor for critical applications - Systems must respond predictably to every need • Requires ‘command and control’ systems • Top-down, expensive, complex, difficult to change • The opposite of the web But…
4
The
‘Internet
Manufacturing’
Mindset
• System capabilities will evolve and increase with time - If some entrepreneurs can make money using them - Only a tiny fraction of apps will survive • Small scale users exploit incremental capabilities - Key element is better tools than they have - They’ll make what the system can produce - Access increased by reduced cost of entry - Long odds of success for millions of ideas • Large-scale users exploit proven capabilities - Adopt as the reliability threshold is crossed - Fortune 100 were not early web adopters
5
CPS in Design & Manufacturing
Bruce M. Kramer, Senior Advisor
October 4, 2012 Gaylord National Hotel
A
Short
‘History’
of
Manufacturing
• Materials- and Process-Driven Manufacturing - New materials demand process innovations - Stone-chipping to semiconductor fabrication • Metrology-Driven Manufacturing - Precision of parts made > that of machine parts - A cycle of ever-increasing precision - Interchangeable parts to LIGO • Logistics-Driven Manufacturing - Electric motors provided distributed power - Layout for material flow, not power access • Computer-Driven Manufacturing - NC Machining (1952), CAD/CAM - Modeling and Simulation, MRP, Synthetic Biology
2
Current
Role
of
the
Internet
in
Manufacturing
• The CAD terminal is pervasive - Modern gateway to manufacturing - 100,000 CAD/CAM seats in US High Schools • Manufacturing enterprises use internet communications - data transmission, collaborative design, ordering • Improved web services promise reduced wait time - Estimated > 95% of part time in organizational handoffs • Some manufacturing services available, within process - Rapid prototyping, NC machining, VLSI, PCBs… • No analog to explosive expansion of web commerce • Retailing, music, publishing have been transformed - Widely accessed by a creative public
3
The
Manufacturing
Mindset
• Highly skilled and experienced specialists • Product must be 100% reliable, on-time and in-spec - A deciding factor for critical applications - Systems must respond predictably to every need • Requires ‘command and control’ systems • Top-down, expensive, complex, difficult to change • The opposite of the web But…
4
The
‘Internet
Manufacturing’
Mindset
• System capabilities will evolve and increase with time - If some entrepreneurs can make money using them - Only a tiny fraction of apps will survive • Small scale users exploit incremental capabilities - Key element is better tools than they have - They’ll make what the system can produce - Access increased by reduced cost of entry - Long odds of success for millions of ideas • Large-scale users exploit proven capabilities - Adopt as the reliability threshold is crossed - Fortune 100 were not early web adopters
5