Biblio
Traffic state estimation helps urban traffic control and management. In this paper, a traffic state estimation model based on the fusion of Hidden Markov model and SEA algorithm is proposed considering the randomness and volatility of traffic systems. Traffic data of average travel speed in selected city were collected, and the mean and fluctuation values of average travel speed in adjacent time windows were calculated. With Hidden Markov model, the system state network is defined according to mean values and fluctuation values. The operation efficiency of traffic system, as well as stability and trend values, were calculated with System Effectiveness Analysis (SEA) algorithm based on system state network. Calculation results show that the method perform well and can be applied to both traffic state assessment of certain road sections and large scale road networks.
Recent developments in robotics and virtual reality (VR) are making embodied agents familiar, and social behaviors of embodied conversational agents are essential to create mindful daily lives with conversational agents. Especially, natural nonverbal behaviors are required, such as gaze and gesture movement. We propose a novel method to create an agent with human-like gaze as a listener in multi-party conversation, using Hidden Markov Model (HMM) to learn the behavior from real conversation examples. The model can generate gaze reaction according to users' gaze and utterance. We implemented an agent with proposed method, and created VR environment to interact with the agent. The proposed agent reproduced several features of gaze behavior in example conversations. Impression survey result showed that there is at least a group who felt the proposed agent is similar to human and better than conventional methods.
SDN is a new network framework which can be controlled and defined by software programming, and OpenFlow is the communication protocol between SDN controller plane and data plane. With centralized control of SDN, the network is more vulnerable encounter APT than traditional network. After deeply analyzing the process of APT at each stage in SDN, this paper proposes the APT detection method based on HMM, which can fully reflect the relationship between attack behavior and APT stage. Experiment shows that the method is more accurate to detect APT in SDN, and less overhead.
This paper presents a unified approach for the detection of network anomalies. Current state of the art methods are often able to detect one class of anomalies at the cost of others. Our approach is based on using a Linear Dynamical System (LDS) to model network traffic. An LDS is equivalent to Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for continuous-valued data and can be computed using incremental methods to manage high-throughput (volume) and velocity that characterizes Big Data. Detailed experiments on synthetic and real network traces shows a significant improvement in detection capability over competing approaches. In the process we also address the issue of robustness of network anomaly detection systems in a principled fashion.
Cloud computing significantly increased the security threats because intruders can exploit the large amount of cloud resources for their attacks. However, most of the current security technologies do not provide early warnings about such attacks. This paper presents a Finite State Hidden Markov prediction model that uses an adaptive risk approach to predict multi-staged cloud attacks. The risk model measures the potential impact of a threat on assets given its occurrence probability. The attacks prediction model was integrated with our autonomous cloud intrusion detection framework (ACIDF) to raise early warnings about attacks to the controller so it can take proactive corrective actions before the attacks pose a serious security risk to the system. According to our experiments on DARPA 2000 dataset, the proposed prediction model has successfully fired the early warning alerts 39.6 minutes before the launching of the LLDDoS1.0 attack. This gives the auto response controller ample time to take preventive measures.